Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000666 0.000762 0.000863 0.000978 0.001105 0.001240 0.001395
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000507 0.000637 0.000785 0.000964 0.001174 0.001412 0.001698
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000416 0.000558 0.000727 0.000941 0.001202 0.001507 0.001888
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000359 0.000509 0.000697 0.000944 0.001255 0.001629 0.002109
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000317 0.000475 0.000678 0.000954 0.001311 0.001753 0.002331
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000271 0.000427 0.000637 0.000930 0.001321 0.001815 0.002476
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000231 0.000384 0.000596 0.000902 0.001321 0.001863 0.002601
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000206 0.000358 0.000576 0.000900 0.001353 0.001949 0.002776
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000184 0.000335 0.000559 0.000898 0.001384 0.002035 0.002951
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000163 0.000310 0.000536 0.000887 0.001400 0.002098 0.003097
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000142 0.000285 0.000510 0.000869 0.001404 0.002146 0.003220
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000133 0.000277 0.000509 0.000888 0.001462 0.002268 0.003448
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000123 0.000267 0.000506 0.000904 0.001517 0.002388 0.003678
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000246 0.000483 0.000888 0.001522 0.002438 0.003812
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000094 0.000226 0.000459 0.000867 0.001519 0.002476 0.003927
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000215 0.000450 0.000869 0.001551 0.002563 0.004116
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000206 0.000445 0.000879 0.001594 0.002668 0.004331
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000189 0.000422 0.000856 0.001585 0.002695 0.004433
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000172 0.000399 0.000831 0.001570 0.002711 0.004517
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000163 0.000389 0.000828 0.001592 0.002783 0.004686
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000155 0.000380 0.000827 0.001615 0.002857 0.004860
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000144 0.000366 0.000816 0.001621 0.002906 0.004994
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000133 0.000350 0.000799 0.001616 0.002935 0.005101